A new Global InfoAnalytics poll has placed Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson well ahead of former Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia in a simulated 2028 presidential race.
The March 2026 tracking survey indicates that Dr Forson would secure 55% of the vote in a multi-candidate contest, compared to 37% for Dr Bawumia, representing an 18-point lead.
The margin is wider than what was recorded in the 2024 general elections and also surpasses the performance of National Democratic Congress (NDC) Chairman, Johnson Asiedu Nketia.
Lead pollster Mussa Dankwah said the results point to the continued strength of the NDC among its core supporters.
He also noted that voting patterns among those who did not participate in the 2024 elections could further complicate the NPP’s prospects.
“The data reflects the NDC’s dominance with its core support, while absentee voter patterns present additional risks for the NPP beyond the headline numbers,” he said.
In a separate head-to-head scenario, Mr Asiedu Nketia also leads Dr Bawumia, polling 51% to 39%, giving him a 12-point advantage. However, that gap is narrower than Dr Forson’s lead in the same survey.
Overall, the findings suggest both leading NDC figures are currently ahead of the NPP’s expected flagbearer by what analysts describe as comfortable margins at this stage of the political cycle.
For context, President John Mahama defeated Dr Bawumia in the 2024 elections by 15 percentage points, winning 56% of the vote to Bawumia’s 41%. The latest projections suggest Dr Forson would exceed that margin if a similar contest were held today, while Mr Asiedu Nketia would come close but fall slightly short.
Other candidates in the 2024 race recorded minimal support in the simulation. Alan Kyerematen, running as an independent under the Movement for Change, polled 3% in the Forson scenario and 4% in the Asiedu Nketia matchup. Nana Kwame Bediako followed with 2% and 3% respectively.
The poll is part of Global Info Analytics’ ongoing national tracking series, which has consistently ranked Dr Forson and Mr Asiedu Nketia as strong contenders within the NDC, although the party is yet to open nominations for its 2028 primaries.
Dr Bawumia, who led the NPP in 2024, is widely expected to represent the party again in 2028.
ALSO READ:
