The Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, has shed light on the factors fueling former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s strong lead in the race to become the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential candidate for the 2028 elections.
Speaking on Accra-based Citi FM, Mr. Dankwah attributed Bawumia’s dominance to two major factors: his long presence in NPP politics and the conservative nature of the party’s delegates.
“I will pin this down to two factors,” Dankwah said. “One, Bawumia has been the face of NPP since 2008. He’s been on every election ticket since then. So he is a familiar face for many people. That makes it easier for him to be organised and more likely for people to want him back on the ticket.”
According to the Global InfoAnalytics poll, Bawumia leads the NPP presidential race with 57% support among general voters, compared to 29% for former Assin Central MP Kennedy Agyapong. Education Minister Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum follows with 6%, Food and Agriculture Minister Dr. Bryan Acheampong has 5%, and Kwabena Agyapong polls at 3%.
Dankwah explained that age and tradition also shape how NPP delegates make political decisions.
“The NPP delegates are conservatives. They are much older people, and the older you are, the less vibrant and dynamic and change-oriented you tend to be,” he noted. “These people want to go with what they know, and they kind of dominate the NPP.”
Among party delegates, the poll shows Bawumia leading with 47%, while Agyapong trails at 17%, and 27% remain undecided.
Dankwah said the undecided bloc presents Agyapong’s best chance to close the gap, but only if he can alter the current narrative.
“If Kennedy wants to make an impact, he has to drive home a message that challenges this status quo and changes the mindset of these voters,” he advised.
In battleground regions such as Greater Accra, Central, and Western, Bawumia maintains a commanding lead with 57% of the vote compared to Agyapong’s 32%.
In a potential runoff scenario, the gap widens further, with Bawumia projected to win 62% to Agyapong’s 38%.
Source: Adomonline
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