A recent survey conducted by academic researchers has placed former Assin Central MP, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, as the front-runner in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primaries.
The study, led by Dr. Evans Duah, projects that Agyapong could secure between 41% and 52% of delegate support, depending on turnout and undecided voters. In contrast, Vice-President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is estimated to receive 31% to 39%.
The survey, conducted from August 15 to 31, 2025, sampled 20,356 delegates—around 10% of the total 203,562 registered delegates. Using proportional extrapolation, researchers suggest Agyapong could receive up to 104,807 votes nationwide in a best-case scenario.
Regional analysis showed Agyapong performing strongly in the Central, Greater Accra, Volta, and Ashanti regions, while Dr. Bawumia maintains dominance in the Northern, North East, and Upper West regions. Dr. Bryan Acheampong secured 9–11% nationally, primarily from the Eastern Region, with Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyepong trailing marginally.
“South accounts for more than 40% of the delegates, which gives Kennedy Agyapong a decisive structural advantage,” Dr. Duah explained.
The researchers cautioned that the findings are “indicative, not predictive,” noting a 25% non-response rate and the potential for shifts in delegate sentiment in the coming weeks.
“Our analysis shows Kennedy Agyapong leading across all scenarios, but the final outcome will depend on campaign dynamics and late-breaking alignments,” Dr. Duah added.
Source: Ernest Arhinful
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