Figure 1: Preferred NPP flagbearer by respondent’s party affiliation (APL survey). Among NPP supporters, 70.6% favour Bawumia and 21.4% favour Agyapong; among NDC supporters, 48.4% favour Agyapong and 35.3% favour Bawumia (others/undecided omitted).
Regional support breakdown
Dr. Bawumia’s support spans a substantial portion of the nation, with his popularity particularly pronounced in NPP strongholds such as the Ashanti and Eastern Regions, as well as competitive areas like Greater Accra.
Conversely, Kennedy Agyapong leads in three regions: Central, Volta, and Western North, with the Ahafo Region showing an even divide in preferences.
The survey highlights Dr. Bawumia’s dominance in northern Ghana, where he is expected to secure significant support even among NDC voters.
He would carry the Northern, North East, Upper West, Upper East, and Savannah Regions, showcasing his cross-party appeal.
However, the findings also indicate that Dr. Bawumia faces challenges in traditional NDC strongholds such as Volta and parts of Western North—areas that will require strategic campaigning to ensure a nationwide victory in the upcoming elections.
As the political landscape continues to evolve, the NPP’s internal dynamics, along with the sentiments of NDC supporters, will play a critical role in shaping the party’s strategy ahead of the 2028 general elections.
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