Title race – Adomonline.com https://www.adomonline.com Your comprehensive news portal Mon, 02 Dec 2024 10:01:27 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.3 https://www.adomonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/cropped-Adomonline140-32x32.png Title race – Adomonline.com https://www.adomonline.com 32 32 What does Liverpool’s win against Man City mean for title race? https://www.adomonline.com/what-does-liverpools-win-against-man-city-mean-for-title-race/ Mon, 02 Dec 2024 10:01:27 +0000 https://www.adomonline.com/?p=2477963 Liverpool’s dominant 2-0 win over Manchester City put them nine points clear at the top of the Premier League table – and 11 points above the perennial champions – as they continue to take charge of the title race.

Arsenal, runners-up for the past two seasons, and Chelsea – performing better this season than expected under Enzo Maresca – are joint-second after winning this weekend.

City’s defeat has seen them drop to fifth – below Brighton & Hove Albion – while Liverpool are nine points in front after the Anfield success.

“It is a good position to be in,” boss Arne Slot told BBC Sport. “You guys know better than me that Arsenal and City are able to win every game from now until the end [of the season].

“Chelsea are able to win every game. It makes the Premier League so interesting – there’s so many good teams.

“Last season there was a big difference in points between Arsenal and City and they were still able to come back.”

Opta’s ‘supercomputer’ gives Liverpool an 85.1% chance of going on to lift the title – making them overwhelming favourites – while City’s chances have slumped to 4.4%.

But is it really that clear cut?

Premier League table next to Cody Gakpo celebratingImage source: Getty Images/BBC Sport

Liverpool’s position now ‘means nothing’

Liverpool’s start under Slot, who had the potentially tricky task of replacing the legendary Jurgen Klopp in the summer, has been phenomenal.

The Reds have won 11 of their 13 Premier League games – and all seven European and domestic cup matches.

Slot has equalled the record of 34 for most points by a manager in his first 13 Premier League matches, set by Guus Hiddink at Chelsea mid-season in 2008-09.

“If you would’ve said at the start of the season Liverpool would be where they are now you wouldn’t believe them, you’d think they need locking up,” said Sky Sports pundit Roy Keane.

Only twice before has a team been nine or more clear at the top of the Premier League table after 13 games, Manchester United in 1993-94 and Chelsea in 2005-06, and both those sides won the title.

Still, Liverpool are understandably not getting carried away, with two-thirds of the season left to go.

Reds defender Joe Gomez told BBC Radio 5 Live: “At the start of the season if you said we’d be in this position we would bite your hand off.

“It means nothing at this point, come the end of the season if we are not lifting the trophy it will feel like we have squandered a big opportunity.”

A ‘mini-crisis’ – do Man City face fight for top-four spot?

Only three teams have ever won the title after trailing the leaders by 11 points or more – Arsenal in 1997-98 and Manchester United in both 1992-93 and 1995-96.

“I don’t think there’s any way back for Manchester City now,” said ex-Liverpool defender and Sky Sports pundit Jamie Carragher after the Anfield encounter.

City boss Pep Guardiola did not concede the title, though.

“I said before this game that we weren’t in a position to think about targets but the season is long,” he said.

“We have to think about making results and then some players will come back and then we’ll be better and we’ll believe maybe. There are many things to fight for and we’re going to try.”

City are famously strong finishers – and have only lost a combined four Premier League games after Christmas across the past three seasons.

If they won their last 25 matches they would finish on 98 points, while Liverpool’s form, stretched along the rest of the campaign, would see them finish on 99.

Carragher said: “Right now I could see Man City losing another four or five games between now and the end of the season.

“I think it’s almost a mini-crisis at Manchester City. I think it’s reminiscent of Liverpool two years ago and I think City might have a fight on their hands for top four.”

City have not failed to reach the Champions League since 2010-11 and former defender Micah Richards called the current situation “bleak”.

“I’m not going to rule City out completely because football can be like that, but I can’t see them catching Liverpool,” he admitted.

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Premier League title race run-in: Will Liverpool, Manchester City or Arsenal come out on top? https://www.adomonline.com/premier-league-title-race-run-in-will-liverpool-manchester-city-or-arsenal-come-out-on-top-2/ Mon, 04 Mar 2024 09:32:39 +0000 https://www.adomonline.com/?p=2364502 It is the tightest Premier League title race in years.

Liverpool scored a dramatic injury-time winner at Nottingham Forest on Saturday but Manchester City then beat rivals Manchester United in the derby on Sunday to move back to one point behind the Reds.

Third-placed Arsenal visit relegation-threatened Sheffield United on Monday. Liverpool and Manchester City will then meet at Anfield on Sunday.

Current table

Premier League table as of 3 March
TeamPlayedPointsGDForm (last 5 games)
1. Liverpool2763+39LWWWW
2. Man City2762+35WDWWW
3. Arsenal2658+39WWWWW

What are the remaining fixtures?

LiverpoolManchester CityArsenal
MarchSheffield United (A)
Manchester City (H)Liverpool (A)Brentford (H)
Everton (A) – postponed to date tbcBrighton (A) – postponed to date tbcChelsea (H) – postponed to date tbc
Brighton (H)Arsenal (H)Manchester City (A)
AprilSheffield United (H)Aston Villa (H)Luton (H)
Manchester United (A)Crystal Palace (A)Brighton (A)
Crystal Palace (H)Luton (H)Aston Villa (H)
Fulham (A)Tottenham (A)Wolves (A)
West Ham (A)Nottingham Forest (A)Tottenham (A)
MayTottenham (H)Wolves (H)Bournemouth (H)
Aston Villa (A)Fulham (A)Manchester United (A)
Wolves (H)West Ham (H)Everton (H)

Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City arguably have the most difficult run of fixtures in the coming weeks with games against both title rivals, starting with a highly anticipated trip to Anfield to face leaders Liverpool on 10 March.

Arsenal visit City on the final day of March.

As for Liverpool, the loss in north London on 4 February remains their only league defeat in their past 19 games. As well as Jurgen Klopp’s team hosting City on 10 March, they have a trip to Goodison Park for the Merseyside derby to fit into a busy schedule.

What do the prediction models suggest?

Predicted Premier League final table – Opta
Team% chance of winning titleCurrent position & points
1. Man City52.92nd – 62 points
2. Liverpool35.91st – 63 points
3. Arsenal11.23rd – 58 points

Opta’s ‘supercomputer’ prediction model estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) by using betting market odds and the Opta team rankings – based on historical and recent team performances. These are simulated thousands of times to create the probabilities.

Whatever happens, there are certain to be plenty of twists and turns between now and the final day of the campaign on 19 May.

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